FALLEN Fallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose
Going short when an instrument reaches a 5-, 10- or 20-day high, or after a day beyond 1.5 or 2.0 standard deviations. Tested on oil, XRP and gas over four holding periods.
| Sample | 108 tests · 1258 days of data |
|---|---|
| Effect | 0 of 54 top signals survive |
| Half-split test | Not recorded on the card — see the result text above. |
| Multiple-testing status | Not judged on p — the finding is assessed on hit rate, half-split and forward shadow. |
| Stage | Fallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose |
| Re-measured | Re-measured when its source script is run — no schedule · last 2026-09-11 |
Every number describes the past under the stated conditions. A finding that passes today can fall tomorrow; Apex keeps fallen findings visible on purpose. Stages, tests and the family-wise correction are described in the methodology.
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