SOL has its own memecoin link

CONFIRMED Confirmed — passes the validation tests

Hypothesis and result

After BTC is removed from both sides, SOL co-moves with Solana memecoins (BONK, WIF, BOME) at +0.46 against +0.30 for memecoins on other chains. ETH as placebo shows the opposite — no such overweight.

SOL carries chain-specific risk that BTC does not explain.

The evidence card

Sample	729 days · 729 days of data
Effect	+0.16 overweight vs −0.04 for ETH (n=729 days, p=0.0003)
Half-split test	Not recorded on the card — see the result text above.
Multiple-testing status	p = 0.0003. Judged against the whole family of 276 hypotheses Apex has logged (Bonferroni threshold 0.00018): does not clear it on its own — which is why forward shadow evidence is required before promotion.
Stage	Confirmed — passes the validation tests
Re-measured	Re-measured when its source script is run — no schedule · last 2026-09-11

What would invalidate it

the ETH placebo starts showing the same overweight — then we measure crypto beta, not Solana
the chain split disappears

How to read this page

Every number describes the past under the stated conditions. A finding that passes today can fall tomorrow; Apex keeps fallen findings visible on purpose. Stages, tests and the family-wise correction are described in the methodology.

All research · Learn · The Apex day

Octopod Holding AS · Octavian Apex is a research and decision-support tool. Nothing on this site is investment advice, and no result shown is a promise of future performance. Understanding markets · Markets · Deep dive · Market intelligence · About · Methodology · Research · Learn · The Apex read · The Apex day · Terms · Privacy · invest@apexgdi.com