FALLEN Fallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose
Hypothesis: positive headlines lead to rises and negative headlines to falls. After de-duplicating repeated headlines, sentiment matched the next move 54 % of the time.
| Sample | stated in the result above |
|---|---|
| Effect | 54 % after de-duplication |
| Half-split test | Not recorded on the card — see the result text above. |
| Multiple-testing status | Not judged on p — the finding is assessed on hit rate, half-split and forward shadow. |
| Stage | Fallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose |
| Re-measured | Re-measured when its source script is run — no schedule · last 2026-09-08 |
Every number describes the past under the stated conditions. A finding that passes today can fall tomorrow; Apex keeps fallen findings visible on purpose. Stages, tests and the family-wise correction are described in the methodology.
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