OCTAVIAN APEXGLOBAL DECISION INTELLIGENCE
RESEARCH · 2026-09-06

Weekend as a filter

FALLEN   Fallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose

Hypothesis and result

Hypothesis: crypto trading at the weekend should differ from weekdays. It fails the half-split test — the difference has one sign in the first half of the record and the other in the second.

Weekend is not a regime; it is a smaller sample.

The evidence card

Samplestated in the result above
Effectfails the half-split
Half-split testFails — the sign does not hold in both halves.
Multiple-testing statusNot judged on p — the finding is assessed on hit rate, half-split and forward shadow.
StageFallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose
Re-measuredRe-measured when its source script is run — no schedule · last 2026-09-06

What would invalidate it

How to read this page

Every number describes the past under the stated conditions. A finding that passes today can fall tomorrow; Apex keeps fallen findings visible on purpose. Stages, tests and the family-wise correction are described in the methodology.

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