FALLEN Fallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose
Hypothesis: many coins rising at once says something about what happens next. Breadth as a predictor of the following day is a coin toss, and the half-split flips its sign.
| Sample | stated in the result above |
|---|---|
| Effect | coin toss; half-split flips |
| Half-split test | Fails — the sign does not hold in both halves. |
| Multiple-testing status | Not judged on p — the finding is assessed on hit rate, half-split and forward shadow. |
| Stage | Fallen — broke its own criteria; kept on purpose |
| Re-measured | Re-measured when its source script is run — no schedule · last 2026-09-01 |
Every number describes the past under the stated conditions. A finding that passes today can fall tomorrow; Apex keeps fallen findings visible on purpose. Stages, tests and the family-wise correction are described in the methodology.
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